Long Term Dynamics of Investment and Growth in Electric Power Systems: Modeling Uncertainty

نویسنده

  • A. Dimitrovski
چکیده

This paper overviews recent research results on the use of system dynamics modeling for understanding long term investment in power system infrastructure. These computer models are intended for use by both policy makers and researchers. The main effort is focused on the simulation models that simulate both short-term behavior, such as, electricity prices and congestion in the near term, and long-term behavior, such as, investment in new generation and transmission. Our emphasis in this annual report is on modeling uncertainty and the role of feedback in minimizing such uncertainty.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Investigating carbon emission abatement long-term plan with the aim of energy system modeling; case study of Iran

Increasing electric vehicles usage, as a promising solution for environmental issues, might have unexpected implications, since it entails some changes in different sectors and scales in energy system. In this respect, this research aims at investigating the long-term impacts of electric vehicles deployment on Iran's energy system. Accordingly, Iran's energy system was analyzed by LEAP model in...

متن کامل

Generation Scheduling in Large-Scale Power Systems with Wind Farms Using MICA

The growth in demand for electric power and the rapid increase in fuel costs, in whole of theworld need to discover new energy resources for electricity production. Among of the nonconventionalresources, wind and solar energy, is known as the most promising deviceselectricity production in the future. In this thesis, we study follows to long-term generationscheduling of power systems in the pre...

متن کامل

Different Methods of Long-Term Electric Load Demand Forecasting a Comprehensive Review

Long-term demand forecasting presents the first step in planning and developing future generation, transmission and distribution facilities. One of the primary tasks of an electric utility accurately predicts load demand requirements at all times, especially for long-term. Based on the outcome of such forecasts, utilities coordinate their resources to meet the forecasted demand using a least-co...

متن کامل

Dynamic Modeling of Economic System in Iran

The long term goal attaining of economic system management requires the establishment of a dynamic framework to integrate multiple perspectives. This article considers the problem of economic development in macro level. As economic systems are complex adaptive systems composed of numerous numbers of components of dynamic and multidimensional nature, dynamics method is applied in this research. ...

متن کامل

Probabilistic Allocation Of Parking lots In Distribution Network Considering Uncertainty.

In this paper, parking lots with bidirectional power flow capability, is used as an achievements of smart power systems. Based on operating conditions, electric vehicles can be considered  as a load  or generator. For optimal operation of power systems, allocation of these novel units is also necessary same as other distributed generation. In this paper, an optimization problem is  proposed for...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2006